New home sales soar to highest level since 2007
The numbers: Sales of newly-constructed homes in the U.S. soared 7.9% on a monthly basis in January to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 764,000, the government reported Wednesday.
That figure represents the highest pace of new home sales since July 2007, making for a new cycle high for the housing market. On an annual basis, new home sales were up 18.6% compared with January 2019.
Additionally, the government adjusted its figures for previous months. The December rate of new home sales was revised upward to 708,000, while the rate for November was readjusted lower to 692,000. The new home sales report, because of its small sample size, is prone to significant revisions like these.
What happened?: On a monthly basis, sales increased the most in the Midwest, where they rose 30.3%, followed by the West (up 23.5%). In the Northeast, new home sales increased a more modest 4.8% between December and January, and they dropped 4.4% over that same time frame in the South.
Sales increase on a year-over-year basis by more than 40% for every region except the South, where they fell 2.4%.
The median sales price of new homes sold in January was $348,200. The inventory of new homes for sale dropped to 324,000, representing a 5.1 months’ supply. The is the lowest supply of new homes on the market since 2017.
The big picture: Confidence among home builders has remained at record highs in recent months, and this report show why. The number of previously-owned homes for sale is at record lows currently. Meanwhile, a strong job market, wage growth and near-record-low interest rates have provided a major boost in demand for homes.
With homeownership an affordable prospect for more Americans, they have to turn somewhere to purchase. This has made the new home market more attractive, even though new homes typically cost more for buyers. As a result, home construction activity should remain healthy for some time to come, barring complications caused by the coronavirus-fueled economic slowdown.
What they’re saying: “Demand conditions in January continued to be favorable for new home sales,” Nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers and economist Daniel Vielhaber wrote in a research note Monday. “Unemployment and mortgage rates continue to be very low, household formations continue to run hot, while the inventory of existing houses on the market is extremely limited, pushing more homebuyers into the market for new homes.”
Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.29% and the S&P 500 SPX, +1.30% both rebounded in Wednesday morning trading, after falling for four sessions on concerns related to the ongoing coronavirus outbreak. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, -0.75% also increased.
However, shares of home-building firms PulteGroup PHM, +0.59% and D.R. Horton DHI, -0.65% and Lennar Corp. LEN, +0.12% all fell Wednesday morning.
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